Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Consternation (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frazzled | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shemakescents | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Hearted | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beachgrass | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Queen | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock the Bourbon | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conch Daddy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curly Esa | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shady Star | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Memorandum | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frost Alert | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | U R Pressed | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil Moon | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobs Blues Man | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Loyal to a Fault | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Violet Crown | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carole Lombard | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smoove as Silk | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Point and Shoot | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moorea Time | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Hello | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vacant Seat | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forbidden Kingdom | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risk and Reward | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ginobili | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Howbeit | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get Her Number | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nero | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wyfire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blame George | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen’s Code | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Icy Flavor | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle George | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | George Herman Ruth | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swimmingwithsharks | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Damazio | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Night Party | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Thoughts | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time Together | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Rosie | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speaking Spanglish | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rosie Ann Rules | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wink Wish and Park | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Girl Named Doris | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mendham Mill | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reinecke | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phenom | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Steps | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Annie’s Song (IRE) | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Jet Go | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Woodbine Way | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shoppingforpharoah | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Manorelli | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tom’s Beauty | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Storming Lady | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Respectfully | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Briefcase Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Topolina | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bob Hope S.) – Bob Hope S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Havnameltdown | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Newgate | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard to Figure | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Practical Move | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mixto | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Giver Not a Taker | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lloyds Logic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Matt | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fireman Dan | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stayin’ Out Late | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hoop Dream | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Constant Conflict | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maynard | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Egomania | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Socal Red | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | State of the Union | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sippin N Kissin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.