Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Loot the Moon | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Big Mozz | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scotch No Rocks | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Myuddermamasapaint | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Supe | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Sense | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Timehascome | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brody’s Fly | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spuns Son | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ra’s Al Ghul | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nicholas Jones | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Lover | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giro d’Oro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Big Pete | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lansdowne | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Romancer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday House | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lansdowne | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Steely Danza | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Rogue | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midaswellrun | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Suitable | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yacht Rock (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Led Tasso | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Duplantis | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Collectorate | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coach Rogers | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Born Flawless | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Shaman | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Dance | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Let’s Go Random | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moon Magic Chrissy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girl Afraid | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saenz | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frigid Lady | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Condensation | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Clouds | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cupids Payday | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cape Trafalgar | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Woodline | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cloud Without Rein | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Town Branch | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yolo Santiago | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yodason | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Road | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Without a Song | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | F Five | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bromley | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Reagan | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Easy Action | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Force | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eddie M | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lark’s Mischief | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shake Up | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bromley | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chicago’s Gray | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Joker | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Libertango | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Hope | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Explosive | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ampersand | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cartier Cat | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blue Kentucky | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonus Appreciation | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Juanita’s Express | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Panic | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mulberry Street | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Criminal Defense | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arthurian | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Alex | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Primer Dimer | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kidyounot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Communication Memo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carcano | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Collier’s Time | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Surface to Air | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Corona Bolt | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ridgepoint Road | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Pocket | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mutaawid | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Event Detail | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Rex | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pinfire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Caldee | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fairchild | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fair Game | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barista | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Undisturbed | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roughly a Diamond | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Roo | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laura’s Charm | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justify My Love (BRZ) | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Misty Veil | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wicked Groove | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Illiogami | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Polka Polenta | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dreamworker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Microcap | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Jag Warrior | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 18 | 18 | Lady Frosted | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Chilukki S.) – Chilukki S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariah’s Princess | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Coach | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liberty M D | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mariah’s Princess | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She Can’t Sing | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Orchid | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empire House | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Center Aisle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | War Campaign | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Quality | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Complete Agenda | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gate Runner | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Gauge | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O P Firecracker | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chrome Republic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jr’s Gift | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Doctor Nash | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.