Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jackman | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Electoral | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tashkent | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hamazing Wisdom | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unrestricted | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Vow | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | C C the Bartender | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Staythirstymyamigo | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Tiny | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Golden Bling | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thoughtsandprayers | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shesmybroker | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thetruthisthetruth | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Morning Twilight | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bring It On Baby | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patsy R | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Because | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queenoftherainbow | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Carlotta | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hot Tamalli | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stella G | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vica Pota | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hannah Fo Fannah | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Char’s Warrior | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pascala | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Paradiso Jordan | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Okie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Indy Lover | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Farasino | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swirling Wine | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Graydawn Day | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Happy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Downondixiebeach | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dusty Ford | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | For Fun | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Allie Grace | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imabadger | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cornerofthesky | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sandplum Creek | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Da Coach’s Wife | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cat Got Lucky | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vicenza Gold | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cat Tale Breeze | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Certaintini | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Aflutter | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Passion for Sand | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Taps | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Euro La Paz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Great Faces | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Passthecat | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legionary | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tango Kilo | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brody Boucher | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poker Play | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Resolve Now | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nomoremrniceguy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tap the Brakes | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cost Average | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Brazil Nut | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aquimine | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Pegasus | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shamayim | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ain’t That a Kick | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grazen in the Park | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dare to Be Wild | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Skipper | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Quiet Prayer | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Survivor | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Full Dinner Jacket | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Resolutionist | 4.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Terawatt | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Nessy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Empire | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bodefide | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Izeadistortedlady | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready At Two | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sherrys Baby | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ride Me Home | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.