Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Uncaptured Grace | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stare If You Must | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Holy Berries | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Cool | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Katz That Gal | 2.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ria Formosa | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Rock | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Karen’s Revenge | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Miura | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nurse Judy Whitney | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | California Gigi | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Gold | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elusive Uncaptured | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | What Knot | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be the One | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hotter Than July | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hot Bode | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Brody | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | J’s Star Jet | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Montana Joyce | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Here Comes Lovie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Il Miracolo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Occasion | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Instinctual | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triple Start | 0.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Cool | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Daniel | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chacharero | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Crusader | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Naval Officer | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Justcuzifeellikeit | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Regimental Command | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Puzzler | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Bailador | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Quality | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Whiskeyonhislips | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Candy | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chiquirin | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pacific Legend | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gilligan | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Action Dream | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Catching Magic | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Negligence | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Camptown Races | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Charlie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Christensen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Dog | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gotta Go Gator | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Solomons Gold | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spinning Musician | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cutie | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bank Frenzy | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bernardo’s Legacy | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tap Gold | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Especiallea | 30.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heat of the Night | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rye Sense of Humor | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Theo | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dazzling Truths | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thenorthremembers | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Benelux | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Youcantcatchcurlin | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Sarcastic | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Osprey | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spin Rate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mister Leonardo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pluma Roja | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naruto | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Side | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fortheloveofart | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catalina Express | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dollar Bill | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adios Papa Chico | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cosmic Speculation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Power Humor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fly the W | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dubby Dubbie | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Finn | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Timmy M. | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Momza | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Race Craft | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Poppy’s Boys | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boldness | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mr Mac Quhae | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jesus’ Team | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Drama | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Talk | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clapton | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Collaborate | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scar | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sole Volante | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Prince | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Corinto (ARG) | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lost a Legend | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Man Left Behind | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Banker’s Hours | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Guapo | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Joyful Surprise | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Feather | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Candenza | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Trinni Summer | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harry’s Onthebeach | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hindenburg | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Black Seal | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Mahogany | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.