Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Indy Lover | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orts Dream | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scrappy Patch | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Farasino | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Happy | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lilly’s Bidness | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dede’s Trick | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jackman’s Ride | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bling Mountain | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Salado | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Wings | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seize the Treasure | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chicago Chrome | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Promise | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Trade Deadline | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whip | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | West Texas Rain | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Durango Jess | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Joe Bill | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Euro Tracking | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St Patricks Sword | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doyouknowmyname | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miranden | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Northern River | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Searing | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Best Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flexati | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Passthecat | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Suez | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nomoremrniceguy | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River Kat | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tango Kilo | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Optimistic Cowgirl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Tapper | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Family Time | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silverscape | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colors of the Wind | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Endless Romance | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Xylophone | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Its My Money Too | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simple Pleasure | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Black Kat Taps | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | American Coalminer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blueskiesandangels | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Excaper | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Euroeast | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rainbow Gold | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joan’s Junior | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vlock | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Okie City | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oga Bear | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classetoga | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | A Lot of Heat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Realization | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rowdy Gale | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiznows Grandson | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ira Champ | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky McCoy | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Homegrown Legend | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arch of Swords | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Darn Liquor | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cat Named Hercules | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brick Town | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carnivore | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Federal Hill | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yip Yip Kip | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s a Prince | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cinco Richie | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Optimal Trip | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Swimmer | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pinch Hitter | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Billy Yank | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Race Day Rebal | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big City Boy | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chuy Garza Y. G. | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Papa Bill | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap N Play | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gospel Trumpet | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Riversport | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Computation | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ranger Rex | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He Said Wait | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp as Damascus | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mattfoleyvanman | 8.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Muckity | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mingus | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.