Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Joan’s Way | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alsanah | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Avarie | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trust Fund Baby | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toto’srubyslippers | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pacific Grove | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jams Top Shelf | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Renae Nae | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dallas Volunteer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bayshore Foxes | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Java | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Kick | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Surcharge | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Wonder | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Very Wealthy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ma Cherie | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fortune Bound | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dial It Up a Notch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will’s Secret | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Envoutante | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Le Da Vida (CHI) | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mariah’s Princess | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bye Bye Bertie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will’s Secret | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Juice (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Valentine | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Olga Isabel | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Kentucky Girl | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mercy Warren | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hypersport | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Braganza | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aunt Naughty | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feeling Happy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gina | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fine Family | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Rarified Flair | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disdainful (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mendel’s Secret | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | General Jim | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Dream Rye’d | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oscar Award | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blamethegoodtimes | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Otago | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In God’s Time | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fastbyte | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Housed | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steele Money | 50.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bling | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tapit’s Conquest | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Princely | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Highway Robber | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Bowman Mill S.) – Bowman Mill S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sir Lancelot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Super Chow | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Hammer | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raise Cain | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Bash | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeremy’s Jet | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane J | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lupo’s Legacy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Cape Trafalgar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Plausible Denile | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Montauk Point | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Iceatude | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lupo’s Legacy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrogates Spirit | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mamzooj | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Atlantic Dancer | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s a Angel | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Power Seeker | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pricing Power | 5.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Boco | 50.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Bang Bang | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Top Secret | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mud Puddle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shipman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bryan Station S.) – Bryan Station S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classic Causeway | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wit | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready to Purrform | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Balnikhov (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Clutch | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fuerteventura | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stolen Base | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Portfolio Company | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Play Action Pass | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wow Whata Summer | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Washington | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Axthelm | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Red Danger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Churchtown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dakota Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Underdressed | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Hagyard Fayette S.) – Hagyard Fayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | West Will Power | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Captain | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fulsome | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last Samurai | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Fury | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chess Chief | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Illegal Smile (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Marg | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cheetara (CHI) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Boss | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Violenza | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lemos Cunha | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sara Mia | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ambassador Luna | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miner’s Queen | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madam Maclean | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Explicate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Connie K | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Girl With a Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.