Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Third Moon | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Outlaw Country | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Going in Style | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Winning Connection | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Churro | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Uncle Dan | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Second and Reed | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Obscured by Clouds | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Showtyme | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lord Gatling | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forestwood Lane | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | El Mayor | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dontbelate | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Majestic Tiger | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Mr. Briggs | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Wicked | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Will E Sutton | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wasp | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizzy in the Sky | 0.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vienna Code | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suspended Campaign | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kerik | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silvestri (FR) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mirth ‘n Merriment | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bramble Bay | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oakhurst | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lashara (GB) | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angel Palm (GB) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toned Up | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bonnie T | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Red Butterfly | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Goulu | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Morning Kiss | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starts Now | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midtown Lights | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bode’s Girl | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lakeside Getaway | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Three Girls | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three Unions | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Never Personal | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love My Candy | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maya’s Dream | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bad Samaritan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Galatrona | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bustin Hot | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Forever Amy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Holiday Jazz | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Lady | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gagliano | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handle the Truth | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Maeve | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Girl Faith | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keen Dancer | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blue Paynt | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Weekend | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girl of Tosconova | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dame Cinco | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jerusalema | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Meghan | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Peridot | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Respect My Candor | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chloe Rose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Chelsey Flower S.) – Chelsey Flower S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smokie Eyes | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tax Implications (GB) | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Implicated | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Oak (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lifelovenlaughter | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Classy One | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rosie’s Alibi | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Binsky | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | La Vita Sofia | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Three Zero | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Wico (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Deccan Prince (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seismic Spirit (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Practicallymine | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Won an Award | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rutherford | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ordinary | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Not a Prayer | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Disturbed | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Montepulciano | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unknown Agenda | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Baie Longue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Code Name | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.