Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stolich | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Franz | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zelick | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gucci Bling | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Favorite Song | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Treasure Coast | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hourglass Figure | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rainbows Are Free | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Long Legs | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Spear | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camden’s Beauty | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Liquor | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lie to Me | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Aflutter | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Certaintini | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Natalie’s Gold | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Texas Skywalker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Out Run’m | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Thunder | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Cline | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mundacious | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Pegasus | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Icy Cape | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Sure Shot | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s an Angel | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doc’s Denita | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gee She’s Pretty | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Chocolate | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Cat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Name Rejected | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ojitos | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gunner Paul | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bluegrass Breeze | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keesawah | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twilite Liason | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Bling | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Don’task Don’ttell | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fred’stwirlincandy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Englander | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devamani (FR) | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Speed Racer Go | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Johan Zoffani (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conviction Trade | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Colosi | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chocolateicecream | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rocktizway | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lethal Move | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Freedom Factor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Octagon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oga Bear | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fort Necessity | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prairie Dollar | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky McCoy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Daddy Hack | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | One Pretty Girl | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gospel Motion | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Darn Liquor | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s All Hearsay | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Incaseyoumissedme | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Offshore Affair | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catdaddy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hello Hot Rod | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Life | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oliver | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Implicator | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sunlit Song | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tut’s Revenge | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carlea’s Dream | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Logical Myth | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Newscaster | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seductive U S A | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moojab Jr | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shadrack | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Give It Everything | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.