Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Only Child | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mercury Ten | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So There | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sette Stelle | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gandhi’s Orion | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cherrys Cross | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Backatya | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver R | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turnpike Bob | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baagy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Over Ice | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Last Mission | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Karnak | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Makoto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Maiden | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Jean | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vics Cool Cat | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart Full of Soul | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decoupage | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancer’s Melody | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kirby | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Rather Nosy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Charlotte Webley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Soupster | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Guillaume | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Juan | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Practical Coach | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highway Bound | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Helms Deep | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Eloquist | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bustoff | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Half Brother | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pop Socks | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whiskied Up | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hop and Scotch | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hopperness | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gods Glory | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Phantom | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cesar | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Aboss | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Estilo Clasico | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Imagoodfella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Artistic Reason | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Lucky Man | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shofar | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Boolum | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Danny Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Big Venezuela | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Late Night Larry | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chief Ron | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Smithwick’s Spice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aristocratic | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Where Paradise Lay | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Ron | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Powerfully Built | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | King of Hollywood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Violet Jessop | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holding Court | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal Orb | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Boombastic | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | May Beau | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | U Cant Handle This | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saints Victory | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Challenge Princess | 2.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Expect a Circus | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.