Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paris Kentucky | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keen Lady | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Sista | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Literary | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Isabel de Clare | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tian’ai Road | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bird Hunter | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toe Dancer | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamers Belong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Donya Know It | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Evoking | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Social Mandate | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zmuda | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Nushi | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monocacy | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eclipsed | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dialed Inna | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Believing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Louella Street | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laver | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Escapologist | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ten Days Later | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Roses | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Endpoint | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | King Russell | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swiss Guard | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Face Value | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Laver | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mazing Mark | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Sean | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Demon Deacon | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Diversiful | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Code One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Burning Bright | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outlier | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Payne | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil Vision | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Dust | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Shot Kid | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bandit Swanson | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Treasury | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cold as Hell | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mount Athos | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Constitutional Law | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spend Benjamins | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ampersand | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pledgeofallegiance | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Data Storm | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kunshan Bridge | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Atras | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oskee Wow Wow | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Comiskey Park | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cupid’s Claws | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ethical Judgement | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Fed | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meister | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mailman Money | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five Star General | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Bipartisanship (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Undisturbed | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Champagne Lady | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flown | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barista | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Lou Ann | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Justify My Love (BRZ) | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reagan’s Decision | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smarmy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Martini | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miller’s Maiden | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Woohoo Jackie Blue | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fair Game | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Forever Dreaming | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sunny One | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Charges Dropped | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereal Road | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | Creative Minister | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Tapit | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ethereal Road | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Actuator | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Trademark | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Blue Line | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Pioneer of Medina | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Castle Leoch | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magoo | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maximum Impact | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Steinbeck | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Serifos | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Major General | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kissalot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Warrior Johny | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Droppin G’s | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Entrance | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Comparative | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Madison | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Taxed | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Pauline | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Entrance | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Huntleigh | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wits and Wagers | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Sweetfantasy | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Like Fine Wine | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ladan | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Defining Purpose | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mo Shiro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Time to Race | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.