Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hullinahurry | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | From Pit to Palace | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mega Shack | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stapleton Song | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Outlaw | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Moonshine | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rainbow Crest | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Sizer | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Okie Freeze | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Canonize | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blueskiesandangels | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Backstage Bud | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Okie City | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joan’s Junior | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Windigo Spirit | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rogue Boy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | El Pando | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ima Bling Cat | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Mmmmm | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackman | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Hot Rod | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Samurai Cause | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nichiren | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bling Mountain | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Like It | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trade Deadline | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackman’s Ride | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bluegrass Breeze | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Tough Charlie | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr L B J | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chicago Chrome | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Westport | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Wings | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Revival | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunday Bling | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ace Gilford | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hondo Lane | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sr. Bi Bi | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sun Striker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Durango Jess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vangilder | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fredonian | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royally | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deanos Cape | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taruca | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shades of Victory | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nietzsche | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Morning Snow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Available Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shamayim | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mundacious | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wilton | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carnivore | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Federal Hill | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Costello’s Kitten | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blurt | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yip Yip Kip | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gold Declaration | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Full Dinner Jacket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Summer Splash | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dial in for Lute | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cliff Diver | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shadowless | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prodigious Bay | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charliecando | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pico d’Oro | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Canada Candy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Templar Red | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blueberry Eyes | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Squillions | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palacein | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marceline | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Ways | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Minnesota Nice | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Woman | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rivercrest Girl | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.