Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Properly Connected | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gucci Bling | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapiture Jones | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devito | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afraidofthebunny | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Franz | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blingo | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Itsonlymoneyhoney | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ballerini | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bendelene | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s an Angel | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Missiszippy Bling | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Still of the Night | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lemons Is Gone | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hawkeye Girl | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gray Zone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Little Sure Shot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cupids Love | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bling Moon | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | What a Babe | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shotgun’s Vision | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly Fenix Fly | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joan’s Song | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raining | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shawk’s Lil Ava | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lynn’s Folly | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Why Behave | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bionica | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missyintomischief | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Family Time | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Kat Taps | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birdie Curdy | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cleopatras Charge | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Make Mine Wine | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | West Texas Rain | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dubronsky | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twice the Price | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Howdy Pilgrim | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Resolve Now | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vision of Elias | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twilite Liason | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keesawah | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Liquor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Empire | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liam’s Nessy | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lisa G | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheer Up | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Xtra Spicy | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy to Please | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ain’tnosweetie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Karman Line | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love Perfection | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Robert Who | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dare to Be Wild | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grazen in the Park | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | West Coast Chrome | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Survivor | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky McCoy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ole Softy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ramshack | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldbridge | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | John Louis’ Bevo | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Full Buck Moon | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hern | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister K | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Disc Jockey | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Varnished | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | R Doc | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Yank | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Power Red | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Musketeer | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cinco Richie | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Race Day Rebal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sign of War | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Choos Ur Adventure | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viatorem | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Optimal Courage | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stayed in for Half | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quarky | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cabot | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Pal Mattie | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Go Alamo | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Belews Gold | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.