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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 9, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Three Point Oh 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Strawberryontop 15.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Good Boo Joo 3.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Don’t Ju Forget 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Avery Blue 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Adam’s Creed 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Tecumseh Caroline 5.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Shocking Grey 12.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Bossy Pegasus 30.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Shezmisbehaving 30.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Sister’s Revenge 30.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Roubaix 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Careless Kitten 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Rogue Son 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Papa Primitivo 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Dad Bod 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Bobs Blues Man 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Maqamat 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 College Boy 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Sproston 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Mongol Song 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Donner Lake 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fore Flag 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Dark Marcus 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Agador Spartacus 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Hot Legs Romolo 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Attenzione 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Touch of Zen 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Artistic Serve 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sonic Brees 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Tom Bombadil 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Fireman Dan 5.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Divine Feminine 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Smiling At Val 3.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Quick Intro 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sawasdee 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Wink and a Dream 30.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Sayers 8.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Port o’ Call 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Surfer Girl S.) – Surfer Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sell the Dream 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Comanche Country (IRE) 1.60 1.4 3-1
8 8 Excelia (IRE) 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Queenzy 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Fast and Shiny 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Court Snort 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Bolts Babe 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Bolt’s Broad 20.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Cast Member 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Havana Angel (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Roll On Big Joe 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Storming Machine 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Arabian Lion 1.60 3.6 7-1
2 2 Raji 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Elwood Blues 1.80 4.6 9-1
1 1 Navy Man 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Smart Code 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Swingtime S.) – Swingtime S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sugar Fix 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hamwood Flier (IRE) 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Counterparty Risk (IRE) 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Rocking Redhead 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Natural Colour (GB) 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Javanica 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Warrens Candy Girl 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Street Ruckus 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Perfect Flight 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Shortman 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Exaulted 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 No Hang Charlie 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Code Runner 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Hero Status 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Time to Party 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Yeng Again 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Go On 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Relaxed Artist (IRE) 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Magic Man 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Silent Fury 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Respect the Code 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Elevado 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Club Aspen 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Red Linn (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Zuma Beach S.) – Zuma Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Packs a Wahlop 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Malibu Coast 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Ah Jeez 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 For A Laugh (IRE) 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Dandy Man Shines (IRE) 4.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 De la Luna 30.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Gas Me Up 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Giver Not a Taker 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Castleknock 30.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Suburban Prince 30.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Russells Hustle 30.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Valiancer 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Reincarnate 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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