Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Great Realization | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ears to Me | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Homegrown Legend | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Smokey | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Banker | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star of Cassie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magna Punch | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Blaze | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hooves Your Daddy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seize the Treasure | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brew Crew | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixieland Quality | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scaryatcanterbury | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poker Play | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Salado | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Beans | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Punch Em | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freudian Fate | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chrome Baby | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Affluent Gentleman | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alleviate | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Natalie | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outworktheokiegirl | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoking Guitar | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taylor’s Vision | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chive Up | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Coffee Buzz | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gurkha Gold (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Minnesota Nice | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grass Queen | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Tidelands | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Prospect | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tantima | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Perfection | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Midnight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Saturday Service | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pumpkin Bread | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Ave | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lacey Boss | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missiszippy Bling | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlet Position | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Miss Hot Mess | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitty’s Queen | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dutch Treat | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Victory Boulevard | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Munnie | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exciting | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carl G | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Moments | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | With the Band | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | John Allen | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frosted Prayer | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eyes On Red | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Devamani (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Varnished | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chocolateicecream | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Violin Maker | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Easter Snap | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midas Cat | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lethal Move | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Concrete Finisher | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gopher Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Conviction Trade | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cams Hotrod | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Caney | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Va Voom | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nice Neighbor | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red River Witch | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cat Tale Sky | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Be Dancin | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flip Flop Fly | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Green Light Girl | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Dottie Run | 4.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stella G | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Drenched | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.