Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr Fantasy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boppin Anda Weavin | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seany P | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesummer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buttoned Up | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strawberry Red | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mega Millions | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taino | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Life | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Running Violence | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Moon Me Again | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Coffee Essence | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | R Love On the Run | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Bon Fire Diva | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Freedom | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Market of Stocks | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Biz | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notion Interruptus | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Luna Fortuna | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherokee Party | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Suppressor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lunar Rocket | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Edmund Fitzgerald | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aggrandize | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bigshot On Nothing | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brutus’ Legend | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luxury Boy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Gabe | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Tax Free Shopping Distaff S.) – Tax Free Shopping Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Philadelphia Belle | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gunfyre Gal | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Intrepid Daydream | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Juror Number Four | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Confirmed Genius | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Beauty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ever Summer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Culdee | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luminist | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Determined Gold | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Lucky | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candlestick Maker | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kelsey’s Shot | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scent of Royalty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (New Castle S.) – New Castle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Threes Over Deuces | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Lake | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tappin Cat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Benandjoe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mr Sandman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Worlds On High | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Crystalology | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | On Our Way Boyz | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Psychedelic Shack | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Uncle Roamie | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Claudee Boy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Jest Above | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Superstitieux | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Uncle Remi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5 | Mapache G | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Lighting | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Branco Maria | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heffner | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Melina’s Dream | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lifespan | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Nantucketer | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Over Ice | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Illustrious | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Snow Candy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Stormy Bonnie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 11 | Braces | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.