September 25, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Foxtrot Seville | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Lookin Royal | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Temper | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pounding Music | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Earley Rose | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backstreet Gal | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love My Cat | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Imnotonetocomplain | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Missawlet | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yira | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cuenca | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Redwhiteandtacos | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sidney Sue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Karen’s Catita | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Golden Effect | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Blame the Irish | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mahomes Money | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Print | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ladneedsahandler | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Highland Dream | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pit Stop Man | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crownedcountcristo | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fore On Seven | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Point of Grace | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Service | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hellman | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | God Is Love | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cosmicality | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Silence | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie the Great | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | General’s Duty | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sorolla | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trash Talkin Larry | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mose Perfect | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bomboloni | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stop the Spread | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kozy’s Wildcat | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jackie A | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dialing Dixie | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Free Square | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruling Front | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Happy | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stone Courageous | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pelota | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Spy | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Risk Vs Reward | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ice Cube Baby | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Tache | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Galactic Tide | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Angelofcanterbury | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mysisternancy | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Divine Romance | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Lotus | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Genieinabridle | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ride the Rapids | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ellie Victorina | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liquidator | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Tate | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Transit | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kid Bourbon | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mentalist | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Segundo | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stimulus Maker | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Watchnthegirlsgoby | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | On the Engine | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Lot Like Xmas | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Money Down | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Street Lamp | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dr Rags | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sam in Style | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Blowing Big Smoke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cairo Boogie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Icy Minister | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bernie’s On Fire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Thunder | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spitball | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tommy Shelby | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Great Dansky | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hair of the Dog | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Excalibur | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Confusion Baby Boy | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Crusader | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Oxide | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Subject to Change | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R B’s Star | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Moonsafe | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No More Mask | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Zeta | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R B’s Star | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bandits Warrior | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Odds | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Combat Queen | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Green Eyes | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Betcha by Golly | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twelveo’clockrock | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Buckey’s Charm | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pray for the U S A | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Samui Sunset | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Currency | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Benny Havens | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bob Marco | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wish Me Home | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tom Hagen | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breakwater | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johng | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Saketumi | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Masterofthesenate | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One America | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barberini | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Assiduously (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rustys Gfivefifty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Man | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Lucky Man | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seiche | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jardani | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pharaoh’s Triumph | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hachure | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Federal Offense | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Macy’s Boy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Concrete Glory | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loaded Sniper | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zip Line to Heaven | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boss Is a Pal | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shelly Island | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smitten Enough | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | E. P. Milton | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Science (IRE) | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.