September 25, 2022 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | It’s Saul Right | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Amelia | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Isla Jane | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paddle On Polly | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Princess | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sunrise Journey | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slam Dunk Sermon | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Brother | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alvaaro | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Charlie | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Torrid Tommy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Armaveer | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carson’s Legacy | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Brother | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Memes | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smokem Howard | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weasley | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord of Light | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macnamara | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Storm | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capacity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Conch Daddy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grazen Sun | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Andros | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Burton Way | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Krahenbuhl | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rafikki | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catemaco | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lovesick Blues | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pyeong Chang | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star Racer | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liberty Forever | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bud Knight | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alpine Thunder | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Count Tolstoy | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ray’s Prospect | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prayer of Jabez | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Music | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wishing On a Star | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Katerini | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yadiama | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Lily | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosy Edge | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spooky Lady | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | King Rob | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sippin N Kissin | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger’s Arrow | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chris Fix | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mourvedre | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra Pass | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Highly Distorted | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Cheddar | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captain N. Barron | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Warning | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Equipo A | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Behavior | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Prodigy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crosskirk | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Capote S.) – Capote S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard to Figure | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Man Child | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard to Figure | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Massimo | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flame Rider | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top of My Game | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Reckoning Day | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half Right | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smileforme | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Storm | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Tigre Terrible | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River Tiber | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Active Account | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Around the Dial | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.