September 24, 2022 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Destiny | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Leap | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Joy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Draw Me | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jamminjl | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dashing Demi | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Busy Paynter | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coalinga Hills | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Prevails | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chay Up and Away | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Mom | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Joe’s Passion | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Senor Jobim | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finally Here | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Box of Chocolates | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King of Speed | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clem Labine | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Self Taught | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Diablo Rojo | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Supersonic Flyer | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Hot Lass | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vegan | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roses R Blue | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Gigi | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Your Coil | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shvere Arbeter | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | So Softly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Caterina | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Parco | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shez Our Arch | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keepurself Alive | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoothwater Linda | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Seven | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Heidelberg | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Gibraltar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sonic Brees | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Matt | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hidetheloot | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrest | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Riversky | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divinely Diverse | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tom Bombadil | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hoop Dream | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Westphal | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stayin’ Out Late | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Today Matters | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Granada Flavor | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Ice Cream | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carla | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Electric Glide | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Buggsy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlit Mischief | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loana | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Violet Crown | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clayton Delaney | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Resultant | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Impossible | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beef Winslow | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Durante | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kimmer | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ensleys Dream | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lilly Babe | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | O’Neill’s Legacy | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nice Ice | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Channel | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vella | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Busker Allie | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Act of Serendipity | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.