September 23, 2022 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dadstar | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Primitivo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shardial | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing the Vision | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Moon | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alex’s Dream | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ca Dreamer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ana Lisa | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Measureofdevotion | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Square | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Sweet | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Wahine | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfecto Amor | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Liar Liar | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Being Blessed | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Next Revolt | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Debt Monger | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vicente’s Shadow | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monologue | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfecto Amor | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pedro Perez | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Restoring Dreams | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reckoning Day | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Disc Jockey | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Demon | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dillon Rocks | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Heater | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zimba Warrior | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allaboutthemoney | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Otro Mas | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s a Candy Man | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief’s Thirsty | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jerry Jeff Walker | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Batman | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chick’s Dig It | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fasttraintotexas | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Larimar | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full of Grace | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rain Diva | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pawnee | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Protonico | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Kisses | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Arch | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golf Drama | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stay in the Game | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Please Focus | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tom and Jazzy | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Last One Perk | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cathedral Light | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Pappy | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Ransom | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Sugar | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grandiosely | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shish Kabob | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Worthiness | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Airkita | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Liberty | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Italian Love Song | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Yvonne | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chevy Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Alphie’s Angel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.