September 22, 2022 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love My Jimmy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whisky My God (ARG) | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Gronk | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tadeo | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect D | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rally Cat | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sigur Ros | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Big Creek | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Baby Kristen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talkative Gal | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame It On Rose | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tizzy Twister | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bonita Leona | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jewelofakid | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Forest Acclamation | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Classy Dill | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Switch | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Again | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bizzy Gal | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bebbanburg | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elegant Sway | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caanfoolery | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Encode | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magnificent | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Purified | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raku Firing | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Ninja | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mesilla Sunrise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Angelcents | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fulminate | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Steps | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Got a Way | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liam’s Dove | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Violent Runner | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Celebration | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Hello | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Celebration | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cherry Chaos | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thank You Kera | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Amy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Kaline | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Self Isolation | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Dragon Queen | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brittle and Yoo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Over Attracted | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shared Future | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior’s Moon | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Jamboree | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Night Party | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shift to Win | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Reign Song | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Thoughts | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hollywood Rumor | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosie Ann Rules | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Thirsty | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.