September 18, 2022 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coruscation | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drizella | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zu Zu Flynn | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Empress | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warren’s Memorable | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock N Roll Song | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Prevails | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Man Bags | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gator Shining | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fun Coupons | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kai’s Statement | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Mischief | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Jasper | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riversky | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Come On Come On | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Orth | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnificent Ride | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Acclimate | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Offlee Icy | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grazen Sun | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Touch of Zen | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clubhouse Cat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paint Me Lucky | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Golden | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin for Revenge | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Of Good Report | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outright | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willy the Cobbler | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glenroy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Port o’ Call | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Soul | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She Loves Karaoke | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cal | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nap Time | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Boisterous | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shvere Arbeter | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | King Zog | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Curly | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mentirosa | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | With Fervor | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lampy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stanford Man | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Renegade Warrior | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chain Gang | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Special | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Bold | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Italiano | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Superman Shaq | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blameless | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Box of Chocolates | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Good Vibes Only | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Savile Row | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Molto Vivace | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bochombo | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Cat | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Albizu | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Dark Mirage S.) – Dark Mirage S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ganadora | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Slippers | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empire House | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Founder’s Day | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cover Version | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trouville | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Jamboree | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.