September 18, 2022 Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Montepulciano | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Expected Value | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Skellig | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Point Proven | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Ohana Honor | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Phelpsy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Big Wicks | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shamalamadingdong | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Empress | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweeter | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Infringement | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Delicious | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Handle the Truth | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Veronica Greene | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sareeha (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Lullaby | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosia Bay | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Libretto (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Free Chickens | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinchen (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Mac | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nicholas James | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Colloquy | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taco Bean | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Shooter | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forty Comets | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonshiningbright | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maxim Moment | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Peace Cruiser | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Binsky | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Shiro | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aniston | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Tangential | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Treasured Gem | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Grand Entrance | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Milieu | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Randomized | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forbidden Secret | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Going in Style | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ulumalu | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ee Yah | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chess Spectacular | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Break the Ice | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Outlaw Country | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Obscured by Clouds | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flashy Alex | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Weekend Tizzy | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Athwaaq | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mucha Mezquina | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Itsakeyper | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Jewel | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Stones | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jasminesque | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Mango | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jen’s Battle | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Angelinka (FR) | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Customerexperience | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Chloe Rose | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Blute | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whittington Park | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forty Two Ace | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blitz to Win | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Workout | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dangerous Edge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Pebbles S.) – Pebbles S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faith in Humanity (FR) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | A Mo Reay | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gina Romantica | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sail By | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Rocket | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bahamian Club (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breeze Easy (GB) | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Glory (GB) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Carol Ann (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Faith in Humanity (FR) | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wonka | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lia Marina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Saratoga Chrome | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Howdyoumakeurmoney | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Agenda | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Last Zip | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Montauk Summer | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jack the Cat | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Out East | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hieroglyphics | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shady McGee (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | It’s Mandatory | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.