September 17, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heart Light | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Violet Jessop | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caged Pixie | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Tripp | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salagadoola | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Middle Island | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bless and Honor | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tall Order | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bigz’s Cabana Boy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mission Man | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Preacher Amos | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ryan’s Fleet | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bernardo’s Legacy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | How Lovely | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jackson Road | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Opus Forty Two | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barb’s Pride | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amicalola Falls | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet On Bitz | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Guy | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Daddy D R | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Triple Titos | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncommon Valor | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Callyourightback | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golden Can | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | World Gone Wild | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Klayton’s Kandy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ma de Taw | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Twelveo’clockrock | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Olive Kat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Claire’s Darling | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Above the Limit | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canadian Ginger | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Syncopated | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He Rolls | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Mitch | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phra Phrom | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flavian | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eight and Sand | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rennie | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chocolate Shake | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Straight Up Guy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Titrate | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor My World | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mint Game | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Emphasize | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seville Row | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maryland Pride | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Super E | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Print | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galatians | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Down Cold | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Market of Stocks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Targe | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mick’sbestbetyet | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Some Is Nine | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Youknowwhatitizzz | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reawakened | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salamina | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Little Bit of That | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chambeau | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Jazz | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Lani | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eifs | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trixie’s Time | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Wildcat | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Center Stage | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Utterly Courageous | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blazing Star (GB) | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Who Knows What | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spicy Margarita | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tweet Away Robin | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Italian Dressing | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vibrant Judy | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toss a Coin | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Like n’ Eagle | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amaretto Sour | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Palmer | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queen of Class | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Way Lucky | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chelichna | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coffee Bean | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Satisfied | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pensively | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meliponini Bee | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lottaclass Lilsass | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Little Miss Minion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Time Goes Fast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kerford’s Commish | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.