September 17, 2022 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | McWherter | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scratchy Apache | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Wind | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Freebie | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B D R Dragster | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Warning | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Cheddar | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bob’s Sniper | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Three Point Oh | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roubaix | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mining Crypto | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glorious Spring | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister’s Revenge | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaylas Joy | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Western Cape | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy for Carmel | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Laker Go | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Len’s Luck | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ivory Sky | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rafikki | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sierra Pass | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asphalt Andy | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mask Off | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sayers | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Truth | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hiding the Brick | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Precedent | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cross Examine | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wesley’s Boy | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mongolian Box | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Butkus | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arthur Spooner | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smiling At Val | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Magician | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Matt | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Me Macho | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Economical | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paytricia | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie’s On Patrol | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Princess | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shelly Nose Best | 10.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Investment | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anacarava (IRE) | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Draw Near | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runaway Sally | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Respectfully | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Equilove (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lalic (FR) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pistachio Princess | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Rachel | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bye Bye Bertie | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harper’s Gallop | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keepmeinthe Moment | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Spring Spinning | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (E.b. Johnston S.) – E.b. Johnston S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Chosen Vron | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Desmond Doss | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crash Corrigan | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Appreciated | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big City Lights | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luvluv | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chicknfingerfriday | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Odonata | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gandolfini | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Omnipresent | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nielson | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | South Coast Route | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rich Gold | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Macnamara | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.