September 16, 2022 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Storminside | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capture the Sea | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rawhide Rawlins | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Project Leader | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vroysky | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Around the Dial | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alleva | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highly Distorted | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Treasure | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Horn of Plenty | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Entry | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Draw | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | So Softly | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vegas Dream | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamer Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auntie Bev | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spun Beautiful | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fantasy High | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet N Go | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Round in Circles | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tequila Sunset | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Opal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paul L | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Resilient | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Charlie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nazare | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Equipo A | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Prodigy | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Keep Your Coil | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Blend | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galarina | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dashing Demi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Spy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Busy Paynter | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Benson | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Mistress | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flatterwithjewels | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Family Trips | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Loveherheart | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suezaaana | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Wahine | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Maneuver | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ardtrea | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nolongerahobby | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prodigal Son | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shortman | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Troutman | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funkenstein | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Club Cal | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Fighter | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy’s Wildcat | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Reign of Speed | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crypto Ride | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Druidic | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Geezer | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chaokoon | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Krixus Flash | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Start Them Up | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thirsty Cowboy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buffalo Run | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.