September 16, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | One of One | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cloud Storage | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Hamilton | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Red Hot | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | La Palma | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starlit Sofi | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bali Ballerina | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Evie Does It | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Slender Slipper | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Purificacion | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Uproar | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncaptured Princes | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cold Snap | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kindness Is Free | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Action Rose | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sea Trident | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Rule | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wind Ninety Nine | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Glaze | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poseidon’s Son | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | South Pointe Drive | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rain of Blessing | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncaptured Faith | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bali Moon | 1.60 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gam Gam Joann | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marimba | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mudshaft | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Show Me Love | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Olga | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Major Pryce | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elissa Joe | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lily of Wicklow | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Ice | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twinning N Winning | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Insanity | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sofia D ‘amore | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sturdy Girl | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dream Concert | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Esoteric | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Defended | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dreambigorgohome | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Harry | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Verrazanointhesky | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oriental Park | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | North Caucasus | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Negligence | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chief Charlie | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imahonkytonkgirl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Deal Go Down | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tape to Tape | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unsociable | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mamba On Three | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Felix | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Panther Island | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unified Conquest | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Romantic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | No Nay Franklin (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Infinite Diamond | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Penumbras Maker | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fia First | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor D Lady | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Bella | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kitty Quick | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Unified Gurl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Lipari | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dem a Wonder | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gitana | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bluefield | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jumeirah | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elusive Molly | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frankie’s Girl | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Jer’s Joy | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | April Mist | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Big | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dominican Ice | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Attitude | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wheatsheaf | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Miracle | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Song Runner | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fight | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moko Jumbie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shake Your Bones | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.