September 12, 2022 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ridley On the Run | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elbullseye | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iris Cowboy Casanova | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West Crest Offense | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big N Rick | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Reason for Cash | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Jess Say It | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wagon Full of Prizes | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shesallours | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wagon Dashin | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apollitical Jimmy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hastabetickled | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loving the Cameragal | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ts Lil Cash | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ts No Time to Exit | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racys Heart | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vf Bye Bye Carter | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Find a Rider | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Foose | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Apollo Bay | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suez | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nugget of Grace | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamer’s Delight | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucks Big Boy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Reporter | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Joe Bill | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Bet | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Earl | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drag Malibu | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Dude | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreambigwinbig | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Penny | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sabria | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Nayyy Nay | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Mama | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gata Runz | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | That Luvin Feeling | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bug a Boo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simmering | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kayla | 1.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Picture Lady | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jibe | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papa’s Secret | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Late for Lunch | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Bobby McGee | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Pines Sandy | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Finish Up | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bet You a Beer | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justice Once | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fleet of Hoof | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | C R Insta Gator | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Luke | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lavender Lil | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acceleritas | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Palace Guard | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dixiemagic | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dreadpirateroberts | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runtoday | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | On a Dare | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scrutinizer | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kwai Chang | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shut Up Man | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lancelot N Elaine | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Itsallaboutyou | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s All About Joe | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ginger Rules | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mafia Don | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.