September 9, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Country Charlie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Am the Mike | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Once Stood Alone | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buck Wild | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Praline’s Cat | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Army Cadet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Heads Or Tails | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Asta | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bowie Two Step | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eleazar | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Panna Mine | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scintillio | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Positive Message (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nuwanda | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sun Bee | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lifelovenlaughter | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luck in the Dusk | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bode’s Heritage | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Forever Friend | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Cube Baby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bella Paloma | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Volnay | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Betcha by Golly | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dat Dares Gold | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hush Y’all | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fashionatta | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Targe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crossland | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oro Gris | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imagine It All | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Rocket | 0.80 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mineola Mike | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Last Scip | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | See Out | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Machine | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Made to Be Lucky | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Thundershook | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caribbean (AUS) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walk Away Joe | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Ghostlighter | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Fortune’s Fool | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Bumperdoo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | One Two Kid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Loves Barbados | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 10 | 10 | Consultant | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Power Back | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Paddy | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nicky Bear | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Benny Havens | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aliferous | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Left Blank | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sue Loves Barbados | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Spanish Czar | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trash Talkin Larry | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kobe Tough | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jackson Man | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vinny | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Welling | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seven On the Rocks | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Big Dreams | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Badger Tooth | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Queue | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Willow Moon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trikki Nikki | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Susan Ann | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Always Something | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Had the Notion | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Gracie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Little Ms Scarlet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.