September 4, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Disarmed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curly Larry and Mo | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chasin’ You | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobby the Tank | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vacation Dance | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Twenty Six Black | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nobilis | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Exalted One | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joyful Ghost | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tater and Tot | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Radio Red | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Somama Beach | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Rod Lincoln | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Disco Demolition | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Blue Soldier | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Excalibrate | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| Disarmed | 17 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Greeley and Ben | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Farm | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Montauk Daddy | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hero Tiger | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cold as Hell | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Engine | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | State Crown | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adelaide Miss | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charge Account | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vegas Weekend | 1.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Atlas | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Athwaaq | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Linny Kate | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Girl of Tosconova | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Dreaming | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Critical Threat | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charger | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cousteau | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Forestwood Lane | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ampersand | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Breaking Stones | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Tiger | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scorpion Dynasty | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jade’s Dream | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Wicked | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Willy Mc | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| Cousteau | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golquist | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheriff Bianco | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Me ‘n Sap | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giramonte | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hudson Overpass | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Shooter | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Athenry | 2.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Courageoous Oh La | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Pure Pauline | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Binsky | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Take Charge Briana | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vahva | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | St. Benedicts Prep | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Betsy | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Renegade Rebel | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Stunningly | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Misintention | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Free Look | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Avant | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Prouver | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | La Mazel | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 12 | Pallotta Sisters | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 8 | Freydis the Red (FR) | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2B | 13 | Beautifulnavigator (IRE) | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Thirty Thou Kelvin | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Selenaia (IRE) | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Keep Left | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Summertime Fun | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 15 | Gifted | 5.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Writteninthestars | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 14 | Welcometomyworld | 8.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lemon Bomb | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Boston Post Road | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Eyes | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palm Cottage | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dealing Justice | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Piece of My Heart | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Movie Moxy | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halo City | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Everyoneloveslinda | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 12 | Catch That Party | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 13 | Great Workout | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Sundaeswithsandy | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ach Du Lieber | 50.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Beach Pass | 50.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Meister | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Citizen K | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Flintshire | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Barrel of Quests | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Eddie the Great | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frank’s Art | 2.50 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Envoy | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Timbuktu | 6.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | La Victoria | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Succulent | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arisaema | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cape Cod Causeway | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can’t Fool Me | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Let Ur Light Shine | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jocosity | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lem Me Drink | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Mama Mia | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Spinaway S.) – Spinaway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wonder Wheel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apple Picker | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Gal | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sabra Tuff | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaling | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Cindy | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aunt Shirley | 5.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Georgie | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leave No Trace | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | American Rockette | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mouly | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Jet Set Juliet | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Quiet Type | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Darn That Song | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Roz | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Lemme Get It | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 10 | Tough Street | 1.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Glocca Morra | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Caiarossa | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Carlann | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.