September 3, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ari Gold | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | General Jim | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Please Baby | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Classic Creation | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ari Gold | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Read On | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good News Rocket | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Impeccability | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fly Right | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scramble | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Big Wicks | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Torigo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Running Late | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Philharmonic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Dan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sustenance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Certified Loverboy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Powerful | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Upgrade | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full Moon Madness | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Surprise Payoff | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parkway | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Code of Kings | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit’s Conquest | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fightertown | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marty’s Magic | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | No Burn | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aussie Pride | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiwanaku | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perceived | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Quality | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Up to the Mark | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seal Beach | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Saranac S.) – Saranac S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Annapolis | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial City | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fuerteventura | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ethereal Road | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Piqua | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Custom Bobby’s | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Montatham | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Moonracer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blinding Light | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sugar Gray Leonard | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mister Chairman | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hatch | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drink the Wind | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | N Y Anthem | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starrystarryknight | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Hunter | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cousin Andrew | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fast N Fearious | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Leddy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mo’s Treasure | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Champions Dream | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mindtap | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Wolf | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kaon | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cagliostro | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jungfrau | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prairie Dunes | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Halite | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart N Soul | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Foolish Ghost | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Shadow Matter | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Amundson | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Elite Power | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Cost Basis | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Payne | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Standard | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Meraas (GB) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Hoist the Gold | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greeley and Ben | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur’s Ride | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Arthur’s Ride | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crupi | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rocket Can | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Juan Valdez | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Instant Coffee | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dubyuhnell | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tsuris | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Briterdayzahead | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fantasist | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Enzo’s World | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Analyze It | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eyes On Target | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Graded On a Curve | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monition | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clear Vision | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sanctuary City | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocean Atlantique | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Never Explain | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lorenz (BRZ) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mad Munnys | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Soulmate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Flower Bowl S.) – Flower Bowl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Joy (GER) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | War Like Goddess | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Virginia Joy (GER) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Temple City Terror | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flanigan’s Cove | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marvelous Maude | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coastana | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Capital Structure (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Jockey Club Gold Cup S.) – Jockey Club Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiad | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Olympiad | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Americanrevolution | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tax | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamic One | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Captain | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Untreated | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keepmeinmind | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chess Chief | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr Breadwinner | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patient Capital | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Worker | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One More Baby | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Milano | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ria’s Angel | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Lion in Zion | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Commander Compton | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seanan | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kong Loves a Fight | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Notable Exception | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jay’stalker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Nineties Country | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Quick Power Nap | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Cara Mia Mine | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bunty Windermere | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Izeamalibumoon | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Chiara | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lollygag | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Eli Dancer | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Rent Control | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Galley Head | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Fuligni | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lemme Get It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.