August 31, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Who’s Counting | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bandua | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ancient Times | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Proven Innocent | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fightinirishtabit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Project Two (IRE) | 2.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Baltimore Kid (IRE) | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Bright Eyed Eagle (IRE) | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Laughter | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frosty Invasion | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Snow | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duckphat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | I’m Nervous Now | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maddie’s Surprise | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kukaro | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yogi | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flattering Gal | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Three Zero | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Webslinger | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Chalk | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Closethegame Sugar | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nieuwendyk | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Secret | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Own the Field | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Man Jimmy | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winning Connection | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevisian Sunrise | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Zainalarab | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nevisian Sunrise | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Time (GER) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Blythe | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scotish Star (ARG) | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emilia’s Moon | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | W W Fitzy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Halo City | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Smarmy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Vegas Weekend | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Family Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Road to Success | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Will E Sutton | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Convertible Freeze | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Scotty | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dontbelate | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | The Big Grey | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Revenio | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Forever Wicked | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eau Claire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cerretta | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sals Dream Girl | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Diversion | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bern Rosey Bern | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Treat Street | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wine Goddess | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shesadancingqueen | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Star | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Are You | 50.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Quiet Type | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | False Hope | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Oak Loves a Fight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Skyward Princess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lacey Underall | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Take Charge Lisa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Xy Speed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Scents | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not Phar Now | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duress | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Animal | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ballydooley (GB) | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shiraz | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Double Shot | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Banyan Breeze | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Durkin’s Call | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Somebody | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Manifest Destiny | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joe Di Baggio | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bodeflex | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (With Anticipation S.) – With Anticipation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boppy O | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Boppy O | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Andthewinneris | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Dream Rye’d | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle of Normandy | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Determinedly | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Huntsman | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Conejito | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boppy O | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quincy Cafe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lachaise | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Therapy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bramble Blaze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sinful Dancer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beach Boy Al | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devil Boy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capt’ Remington | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Basis Risk | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Slick Nick | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Civility | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cumberland Blues | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’sgottashortfuse | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Makart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.