August 28, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Xigera | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candle | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Dixie | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Akayla (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justifiable Belle | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Shiro | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mademoisellejackie | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wand | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clever Joke | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Vita Sofia | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Welcometomyworld | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Misintention | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | My Betsy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Freydis the Red (FR) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Endowed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cryo | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Higher Quality | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Victory | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Change | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eloquist | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Abuse of Power | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thismightbetheone | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Stuck On Kitten | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tweaqued | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Jasminesque | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Bustin Bullet | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Mispelled Mooon | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | New York Banker | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gasoline | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sidekick | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abundant Honor | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Looker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afjan | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Forest | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Order of Magnitude | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Microphone (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Devil’s Outlaw | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Irwin (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Call Me Harry | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Colosseo | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Exult | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Funny Joke | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Perceived | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tiwanaku | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quiescent | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Maria From Miami | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love to Shop | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alpha Bella | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Great Maybe | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nursekringledances | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quiescent | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m a Country Girl | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soledad | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lovin’ On the Run | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Michelle | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Class | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Freedomofthepress | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Towering Orbit | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer At the Spa | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Weekend Fun | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | O’Gotten Girl | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Latkes | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Train to Artemus | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cinderella’s Cause | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High School Crush | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bastet | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beautiful Karen | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Better Talk Now S.) – Better Talk Now S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Napoleonic War | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wit | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fluid Situation | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Legends Can’t Die | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emboite (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ohtwoohthreefive | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Riot House | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Serifos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Camp David | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Seal Beach | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ballerina H.) – Ballerina H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bella Sofia | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Rocket | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ce Ce | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Obligatory | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodnight Olive | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Travel Column | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caramel Swirl | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Java Buzz | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Quality | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Upper Level | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Matt Doyle | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket’s Red Glare | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chucka Moon | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Be There | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw Kid | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steady On | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sainthoodforbrian | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lupo’s Legacy | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Broadway Jimmy | 50.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Theregoesmymiracle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jurkovec | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Atlantic Dancer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Jester’s Song | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.