August 25, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Necromancer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Naked and Famous | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Supersonic | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vinny Two Cents | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monterey Peninsula | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Warrior | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cant Keep Me Down | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Playlist | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Caraggio (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Reflexivity (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocket City | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dontlookbackatall | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Essaouira | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lexi’s Spirit | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hat Check Girl | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elysian Field | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tell Me When | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Illicit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bella Michelle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | La Vita Sofia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Georgees Spirit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Bomb | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Royal Spirit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | St. Joe Louis (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Icarus | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Merci | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Hard Rye Guy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Assiduously (GB) | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Gordon | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Spread | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Ancient Times | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Cryo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Calloway Peak | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Must Be Love | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Writeitontheice | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Ghent | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Royal Mover | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star Attitude | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Western Ghent | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ee Yah | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Thunder | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warman Road | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mr Bob | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enzo’s World | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dust Devil | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Locally Owned | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giocare | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Direct Order | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kumar | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amount | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior in Chief | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Parsimony | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rocky Sky (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Ivy | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beside Herself | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Light Stars (FR) | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Measure | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mia Martina | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Bourbon | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Cairo | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | James Jones | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Modern Science (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Danzigwiththestars | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dripping Gold | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Saranac (FR) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snow’s Island | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Impulsiveness | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | C Falls | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daunt | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Grey Wizard (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Carloun (IRE) | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dante’s Fire | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Jarreau | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Orchestration | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tiwanaku | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Search for Truth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tizzy in the Sky | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Precursory | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liquidity Provider | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alessia | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dover Dreams | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Handbelle | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lute Player | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Solveig | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Riskaverse S.) – Riskaverse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Skims (GB) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Canisy | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Customer List (FR) | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wonka | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Linda’s Gift | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A Mo Reay | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gina Romantica | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missy Greer | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Faith in Humanity (FR) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Republique | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit And Glory (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Digital Future | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | After Five | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle George | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandrone | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Napa Spirit (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Boss Ben | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fomo | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spettro | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hezastonecoldfox | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Milano | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Civil Service | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hudson Overpass | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Stainless Steel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ghostlyprince | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Storm Shooter | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hatch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.