August 21, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shemakescents | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gypsy Lynn | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warren’s Show Bizz | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Heidelberg | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tap Me a Text | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Silver Flash | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamer Girl | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keepurself Alive | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roses N Gold | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Jolt | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wiki Wahine | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Delia Mo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Backstreet Affair | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Big Seven | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Priano | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clem Labine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Italiano | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Self Taught | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Eyes West | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizhotndusty | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heartfullofstars | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | For A Laugh (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Horace Mann | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Argentina Cries (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rich Gold | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valiancer | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giacometti | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glendale | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Corazon de Lucia | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Partner Glen | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Post Facto | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cosmic Soul | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Taxes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Strut On Louie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Russells Hustle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Disc Jockey | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Bowman | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proverb | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Buzz | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peace of Ekati | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zimba Warrior | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Golden | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Saffa’s Day | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Octopus | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disco Ball | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Albizu | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Street | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Cat | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speight and Malice | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Diablo Rojo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Storm the Court | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rip City | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elector | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lure Him In | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Cause | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashiest | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taishan | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Pharoah | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surfing Star | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Muteki | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Home Cooking | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Electric Glide | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | House of Magic | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Inthearmynow | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curl Girl | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monique | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carson Jen | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Girls | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Good as Gone | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Solana Beach S.) – Solana Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rose Dawson | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eddie’s New Dream | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sassyserb | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barrister’s Ride | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Dialed In | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pulpit Rider | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrens Candy Girl | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harper’s Gallop | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | California Kook | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sunshine Babe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Drizella | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil’s Big Shot | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Your Coil | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shvere Arbeter | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast to Fortune | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willamina | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Precious Insight | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Your Ringer | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Careless Star | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Karen | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Thunder | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Spy | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Crazy About You | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Whiskey Blue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kirstenbosch | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rhea Moon (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Mattie B | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dendera | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glenall (IRE) | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Got a Way | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vincero Grande | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fortunata Tensio | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Claddagh Cure | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Isola Mia | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s a Joker | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gem Mine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.