August 20, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Street Vendor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Floki’s Flight | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sebaray | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pistol Or Shotgun | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fazaro | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myplayalinda | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Price | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Starship Precious | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spooky Road | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Jazz | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | U Cant Handle This | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gagliano | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Simple Sugar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ice Kreem Sundae | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Favorite Outlaw | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ryan’s Cat | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peaceful Waters | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Risk Profile | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu S S | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steinbeck | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Striking Speed | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Cara Mia Mine | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Road to Remember | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Currency | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shinfull | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bunty Windermere | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pomme Sauvage | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rent Control | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ard Macha | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Activist Investing (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rarified Flair | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coach Petro | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wideright | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conversing | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | J’adoro | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taking Candy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Philharmonic | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Desert Wolf | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Funtastic Again | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Best Idea | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Dangerous Edge | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blitz to Win | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Win for Gold | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Rhymes Like Dimes | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Blute | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whittington Park | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Wicked | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Forty Comets | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Summonyourcourage | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bat Flip | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Echo Again | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expected Value | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good News Rocket | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Legacy | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Game Change | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spinzar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Lake Placid S.) – Lake Placid S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Haughty | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dolce Zel (FR) | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Consumer Spending | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eminent Victor | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | With The Moonlight (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sail By | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Koala Princess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Canisy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Smart N Fancy S.) – Smart N Fancy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Caravel | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss J McKay | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Change of Control | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Robin Sparkles | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Sexy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Illegal Smile (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Edith | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah Harper | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fouette | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spicy Marg | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Alabama S.) – Alabama S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Secret Oath | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nest | 0.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gerrymander | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nostalgic | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goddess of Fire | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Keen | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skratch Kat | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Aviano | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Box N Score | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Chess’s Dream | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Flash | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Fast | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | K P All Systems Go | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barnegat Light | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sonic Speed | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gussy Mac (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Pure | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Mayor | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Grey | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Corkman | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bryce Canyon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Air Show | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cause to Cruise | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.