August 14, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Youteyourhonor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unfaithful Ways | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Norah’s Princess | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Virulente (FR) | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dolly May (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Talked | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blushing (FR) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kitten Calls | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keychain Girl | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runninwiththeboyz | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snip | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Adaleigh | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Macarena | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moose Mitchell | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prayer of Jabez | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Turnsandconditions | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Harbors Dream | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Axel Steel | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Matt | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Wind | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northvale Road | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Meetmeattheclub | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Castle Doctrine | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Storming Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ellie Arroway | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lalic (FR) | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Respect My Candor | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La V. | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kitty’s Candy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Mistress | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Channel | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Halosnheaven | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Infinite Diamond | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Dancing | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | And Tell Me Nolies | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jennifer’s d’Light | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Connection | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Half Nelson | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tizlightning | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Special | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evenerevenworse | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovesick Blues | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Next Flight | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pyeong Chang | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sawasdee | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Philosopher’s Tone | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Image | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smokem Howard | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Please Focus | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Driver’s Ed | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Giver Not a Taker | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rhino | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nauvoo | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goldensunrise | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Flyer | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slightly Dirty | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Druidic | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Buck Owens | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Duty First | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stay in the Game | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Reign of Speed | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Warrens Candy Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Investmentstrategy (GB) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Self Isolation | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fantail (GB) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | With This Vow | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dramatizer | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Applecross (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capstone Girl | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Myfavoritedaughter | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Best Pal S.) – Best Pal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King Adrock | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Havnameltdown | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arman | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Agency | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Man Child | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quagmire Magic | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mardukas | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fleet Feet | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pop d’Oro | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jin Tong | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kangaroo Court | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lord Zed | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caisson | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit Maker | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kant Beat the Rock | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flint Stroll | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | National Road | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moonshine Steve | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Halfbarberbingie | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rimprotector | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Uncle Jeff | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Disko Tribute | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Missed Call | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mo Them Down | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.