August 13, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reckoning Force | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calycanthus | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Very Busy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Coverage | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Torigo | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baie Longue | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fire Baron | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord of the Navy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Funtastic Again | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mount Athos | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Cold as Hell | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Charger | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Motion to Strike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Gaslight | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Resist the Devil | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Pico d’Oro | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast N Fearious | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Jake Rocks | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Leddy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rigby | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Star (GB) | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take the Backroads | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Payne | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Train to Artemus | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ulikeapples | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Constitutionalrage | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Idaka | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cadencia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mommasgottarun | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Saratoga Special S.) – Saratoga Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gulfport | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Damon’s Mound | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valenzan Day | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Chow | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Owen’s Leap | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Early Edition | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Know It All Audrey | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captainsdaughter | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tosconova Beauty | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Mystery | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vallelujah | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Maeve | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunset Louise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Neuro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Down | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Me ‘n Sap | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Hornet | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giramonte | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Courageoous Oh La | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tommy the Torch | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Culture | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheriff Bianco | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Majority Partner | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Bash | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skellig | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | General Jim | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What a Blast | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr McGregor | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ohana Honor | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Read On | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surprise Payoff | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marty’s Magic | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scootscoot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Black Rain | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Portfolio Company | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Al’s Rocket | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ohtwoohthreefive | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Daunt | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Martini’nmoonshine | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carpe’s Dream | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Constitutionlawyer | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Worker | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Overbore | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Piqua | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capone | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Icarus | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mackillop | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Unbridled Bomber | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Seal Beach | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Emboite (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Happy Bob | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Southern Flag | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Citizen Mack | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | For Good | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unlimitedpotential | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leading Contender | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Expressman | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Final Approach | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Away From Home | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gimme Love | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Lupo’s Legacy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Fourstardave H.) – Fourstardave H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Casa Creed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Glory | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Masen (GB) | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Front Run the Fed | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Smokin | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Greg’s Honor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Soldier | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Empire Ridge | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Calloway Peak | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Left On Boylston | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strike Price | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Joker | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Theregoesmymiracle | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union of Thoughts | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Growth Mindset | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.