August 12, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Court Snort | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warren’s Paradice | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cherry Chaos | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Acclamation | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loyal to a Fault | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sue Generous | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Comradery (IRE) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Cut | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Flame | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Funkenstein | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willy the Cobbler | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stone’s River | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | K P D Day | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salto de Tigre | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Anna Volante | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Consternation (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Hearted | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Landslid | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spring Spinning | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Work to Live | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rvalentina | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Classy Dill | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paytricia | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Otter Pop | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Comrie Rule | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Lightening | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Audubon | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Princess | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s So Fancy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drama Diva | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baila Baila | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Sugar | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peligroso | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Decade of Dreams | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Izzy Em | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Briefcase Girl | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dream a Dream | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Automax (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Good Law | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m No Ballerina | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Graduation S.) – Graduation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Man Oh Man | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Wam | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Straighten Up | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hacking It Up | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whobeterthantiger | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Early Release | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strength of Autism | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Good N Thirsty | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Smokem for You | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Opry | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dubby Dubbie | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Factor | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Southern King | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ted | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buenisimo | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Respect the Hustle | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exclusive Speaker | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bottle of Smoke | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jack Sprout | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Catemaco | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gold Rush Candy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Forgiving Spirit | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Little H Man | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Finish | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Creative Peak | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sunrise Journey | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lil Richards Bello | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seattle Breakout | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nice Guy Clay | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Next Flight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 98 | Suzie Qzz Brother | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.