August 11, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sapadilla | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baker Kait | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flame McGoon | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tecumseh Caroline | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucy L | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ryder’s Candy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adam’s Creed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Storming Machine | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rexford | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zio Jo | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Stick | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wound Up | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colonel Vargo | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Auspice | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Lane | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Joy | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mercy Mercy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Ice Storm | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Defiant | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Broken Breeze | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Creative Romance | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chrome of Our Own | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arrest | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sippin N Kissin | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Precedent | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Whiskey Vision | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maqamat | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling At Val | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carson’s Legacy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Missing Maurice | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Metal | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No Ice Cream | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongol Song | 30.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tricky Ricky | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Street Art | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Uncle Wilbur | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Summer Dream | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daniel’s Magic | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thunderheart | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Santos to Wilson | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kimmer | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Irish Circles | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Awesome Rhythm | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rescue Story | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let Him Do | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aplombado | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Marks Hip | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goldenspa | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prayforourcountry | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | King Zog | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Time | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anticipated | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fifty Pesos | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 98 | Stafford to Kupp | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 98 | Saburo’s Grace | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Krixus Flash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Mendez Mile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s Bulletproof | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lilly Babe | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncaged Kitty | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saturday Heist | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vella | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emma’s Dance | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Girly Girl | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Square | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizzy Twister | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chicknfingerfriday | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tangledupingrey | 1.60 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reckless Affair | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Don’tthinkjustdoit | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Big Cheeseola | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tom Horn | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Warrens World | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Syntactic | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Herecomegeorgieboy | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Theuntouchableone | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Santiago’s Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | My Ransom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 98 | Royal Halo | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Mentirosa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.