August 7, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo’s Treasure | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Talkin Pharoah | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scarpia | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gilcrease | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chiringo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Creation | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Certified Loverboy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Lieutenant | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surprise Payoff | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Critical Threat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Jays | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good Skate | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Tiger | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Convertible Freeze | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Big Grey | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Road to Success | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dealing Justice | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liberty M D | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr B | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goodnight Olive | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fouette | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Piece of My Heart | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sarah Harper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Adirondack S.) – Adirondack S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sabra Tuff | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naughty Gal | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promise of Hope | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Janis Joplin | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apple Picker | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Damaso | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bisset | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tribal Queen | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maria From Miami | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raging Sea | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Shiro | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peace Cruiser | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Will Be Famous | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Senior Prom Queen | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mirus | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Renegade Rebel | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just an Angel | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shaymyname | 50.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Delight | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Hue | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Grotte | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gifted | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Mazel | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Invest Wisely | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stay Lost | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Xigera | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Empress Isabel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Conseillante | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Welcometomyworld | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Beautifulnavigator (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.) – Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | McKulick (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Year’s Eve | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | With The Moonlight (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Contemporary Art | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oakhurst | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Walkathon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Colorful Mischief | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Hot | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | To a T | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Hope | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Cara | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rookery | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Portilla | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big City Momma | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Minute Waltz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Fasig-tipton De La Rose S.) – Fasig-tipton De La Rose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jouster | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love And Thunder (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Plum Ali | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stunning Princess | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Flash Drive | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nazuna (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Assertive Style | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In Good Spirits | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Halo City | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Battle Bling | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Digital Software | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maseta | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream of a Day | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fieldstone | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bless Bless | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Merci | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Splendid Summer | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kong Loves a Fight | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cash in a Flash | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Time | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Resilient Courage | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Segundo | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Forty Comets | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Nicholas James | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Skylander | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Writeitontheice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.