August 6, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cara’s Prince | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Route One | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mullingar | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battle of Normandy | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Track Mate | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonflyer | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | School of Thought | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afilada | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mostly Harmless | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tekila | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Rose | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lordhearmyprayer | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Caught My Eye | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toosweettobesour | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Khali Magic | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impazible Donna | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Alacrity | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Clever | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Karen | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Stones | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mosienko | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Sophia | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Good Governance (GB) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Eyes On Target | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Casanova Kitten | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Founder | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Turn of Events | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Fast | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Famished | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ocean Atlantique | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Dream Works (FR) | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Two Thirty Five | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Swiftsure | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Kinetic Sky | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Fasig-tipton Lure S.) – Fasig-tipton Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Public Sector (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Somelikeithotbrown | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Conduct | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duke of Hazzard (FR) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | T D Dance | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynadrive | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | South Bend | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sifting Sands (GB) | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Disarm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Perform | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Crupi | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocket Can | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Wadsworth | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Arthur’s Ride | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Point Proven | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Olazabal | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Western Ghent | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Glens Falls S.) – Glens Falls S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | War Like Goddess | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Virginia Joy (GER) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flanigan’s Cove | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Temple City Terror | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Key Biscayne | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petricor (GB) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Treasure Tails | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Osbourne | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hometown | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Pharoahs | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Money Supply | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American Gentleman | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scilly Cay | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Tapit | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anejo | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fluid Situation | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Munnings | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Longines Test S.) – Longines Test S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Matareya | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Peppers | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elm Drive | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | November Rein | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wish You Well | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Silver | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chi Town Lady | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Whitney S.) – Whitney S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Life Is Good | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Olympiad | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Rod Charlie | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Saver | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zoomer | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Americanrevolution | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Caesars Saratoga Derby Invitational S.) – Caesars Saratoga Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Classic Causeway | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sy Dog | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emmanuel | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Sonata | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Main Event | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Annapolis | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nations Pride (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stone Age (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Patronage (FR) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ethereal Road | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stolen Base | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Biondi | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Action Jackson | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Excursionniste | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dreampoint | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Conquist | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sir John | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Your Mission | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Bert Bert Bert | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Walk Em Down | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Olympic Dreams | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Uragano | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.