August 5, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Customerexperience | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indian Bella | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Well Spent | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New York Banker | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Bea Star | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Towering Gaze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Command Point | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quaria Thunder | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Jessica | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fairy Cakes (GB) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masabeeh | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laugh and Play | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maybe Later | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rosemary Potatoes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mama Rina | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Miss Invincible | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Clara Belle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Devil Or Angel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barone Marchis | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Capt’ Remington | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Other Chad | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Makart | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jay’stalker | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Slick Nick | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jemography | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Pete | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breaking Stones | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapizearance | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gandy Dancing | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnetron | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forever Wicked | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Rheaume | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Shad Nation | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ballymore Star (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Noble Enterprise | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hail To | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Except Temptation | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Sweet Story | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Good Measure | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sequist | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | St Maarten Girl | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Wasp | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1X | 13 | Baby Man | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Santa Giulia (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Love Tank | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Influentialous | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stellar Lady | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aztec Nights | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | She’ll Never Know | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run for Cover | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Cosa | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sirius Light | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extessa | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peach Street | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ragtime Blues | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Storm | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Auburn Hills | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Direct Order | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Invest | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Handy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Parade Field | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | O Shea Can U See | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Commissioner | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.) – National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Double Clutch | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz the Bomb | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stolen Base | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chanceux | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wit | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Purrform | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wow Whata Summer | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Celestial City | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dowagiac Chief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Troy S.) – Troy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Pal | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carotari | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | True Valour (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spycraft | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arzak | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yes and Yes | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thin White Duke | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bean Christine | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roz | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Rebel | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jet Set Juliet | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Malala | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skyward Princess | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kukaro | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caiarossa | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.