July 31, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Royal Currency | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Voleuse | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truancy | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eau Claire | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Photon | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glocca Morra | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Star | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fourway Stop | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turf Accountant | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ticker Tape Home | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Milieu | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Free Look | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candle | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freydis the Red (FR) | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Graceful | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Callie’s Grit | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Empress Isabel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Be Clear | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dawnland | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Knowing Glance | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tweaqued | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classiness | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guajira | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trade Secret | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | America’s Pride | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Colormepazzi | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daufuskie Island | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tap’n de Bank | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Dr. Blute | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bold Journey | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Unique Unions | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | G Munning | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Tsar | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majority Partner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mezcal | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Cairo | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Bourbon | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coastana | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Princess | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Capital Structure (GB) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Blythe | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Community Adjusted | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forever Dreaming | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Good Penny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Splurge | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 5 | O Shaughesey | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Prank | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 4 | St. Benedicts Prep | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | High Class | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Misintention | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | My Betsy | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Check Engine Light | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Dagmar | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Soldier Rising (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Value Engineering | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Hard Love | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ever Dangerous | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sanctuary City | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flop Shot (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kinenos | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ocala Dream | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Kingdom | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Street Ready | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Intrepid Heart | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Burning Bright | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | T D Dance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bowling Green S.) – Bowling Green S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arklow | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cross Border | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rockemperor (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highland Chief (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | L’Imperator (FR) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cibolian | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Amsterdam S.) – Amsterdam S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pinehurst | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gunite | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pappacap | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Prankster | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Surfer Dude | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runninsonofagun | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoist the Gold | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Accretive | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corniche | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Martinez | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Brennan’s War | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bointheback | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chapel Road | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Johnson | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disengage | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Sensation | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slugo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steerage | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eridromos | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Banker | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Bruce | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gimmebackmybullets | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.