July 30, 2022 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | On the Flyy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Glory | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racin On Love | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vf Shes Relentless | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Totheleft Totheleft | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Iris Cowboy Casanova | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ridley On the Run | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Third Rate Romance | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Wagon | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corona Ken | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vals Sizzling Lips | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ts I Need a Corona | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Melissa | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ec Wagon | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perrysfirstmoonflash | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rm Crushonivory | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ts Another Aquaflash | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rm High Rate Ofspeed | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shweet Persuasion | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mahomes | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Point of Impact | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Wild Ride | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stage Door | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Louie | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tough Company | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matchlock | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Hearted Factor | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hunter Quick | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver and Aces | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Melody | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ornery Angel | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darlene Strong | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princessofchitown | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itsnotmyjob | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Shadows | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Angel’s Melody | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call the Shots | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischief Mama | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Nayyy Nay | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Penny | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gata Runz | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rome’s Burning | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tasha | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A J’s Ride | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw Queen | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wait a Sec | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blitzed | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Our Bet | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | I Guess Not | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Iowa Stallion Futurity) – Iowa Stallion Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tyler’s Tribe | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | C R Insta Gator | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ain’t So Bad | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blackteca | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Succession | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Dozer | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shouldaboughtdabar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Babys Time to Sing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Witsec | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Herzen | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Billy Yank | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suez | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apollo Bay | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clearly Mad | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fake Solution | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freer | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Stripe | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.