July 30, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cortese | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord of Light | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trusty Rusty | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suburban Prince | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Top of My Game | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pat’s Paddock Pick | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capacity | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saburo’s Grace | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quick Buck | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoop Dream | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nolongerahobby | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exceed Speed Limit | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Continental Divide | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hotrod Ride | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mobou | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Wind | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hapi Hapi | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Comanche Country (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lollipop Gumdrop | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Green Eyed Lady | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quarantella | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Always At Ease | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Connection | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bolt for Allison | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daddy Classy Dill | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free and Humble | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Mo | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | I’m Still in It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Cahuilla | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Queenzy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Court Snort | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Thunderheart | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chipper | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eleniak | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wedding Groom | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame George | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Butkus | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Finglas Lad | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quick Intro | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Man Bags | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Them Down | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Naismith | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Law Abiding | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Fred | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maynard | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mitad Del Mundo | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Explain This Audit | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lookout Point | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dual Threat | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Munny | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Box | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Key Is Unity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lil Bro Coop | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Percolate (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Newgate | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hard to Figure | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Game Time | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Riverside | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Arrowthegreat | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | South Coast Route | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Odonata | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Taxes | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kolomio | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Omnipresent | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Cosmic Soul | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Giovinazzo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | Abeliefinthislivin | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Strut On Louie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasin Munny | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yes He Can | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whooping Jay | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commander (FR) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lane Way | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coulthard (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Wedge | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Hot Box | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bing Crosby S.) – Bing Crosby S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shaaz | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Letsgetlucky | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drain the Clock | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Principe Carlo | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bagboss | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Howbeit | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Oops | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Theorem | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Get Her Number | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desmond Doss | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Goliad | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lammas (GB) | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Jostar | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast Bro | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liberal (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nerves of Steel | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadrack | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Axel Steel | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peace of Ekati | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coalinga Road | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Petruchio | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Explosive | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (San Diego H.) – San Diego H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Country Grammer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mandaloun | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Defunded | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Ship (BRZ) | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | There Goes Harvard | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tripoli | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parnelli | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stilleto Boy | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Senor Buscador | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Leisurewear (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vivando | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Clementine (GB) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Glorious Spring | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lilac Starlight | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Takemebythehand (GB) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Talented Lady | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Albayaader (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kura | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jubilee Lake (GB) | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Romance | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Nadeshiko | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tiergarten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Velvet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.