July 29, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Cocktail Princess | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elegant Sway | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | It’s Saul Right | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Henny On Ice | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fixyurhairupretty | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Paytricia | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Kaline | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yo Yo Mama | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 98 | Danzigs Star Storm | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Magic Secret | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | All Hallows | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Baila Baila | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 98 | She’s So Fancy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Golden Again | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Niles Channel | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Respect the Hustle | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overdue | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Border Town | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Table for Ten | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Mo | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Comradery (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Fish | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Threshold | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vicente’s Shadow | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Southern King | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Brix | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Winning Factor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Facts Matter | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Square Deal | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bear Chum (AUS) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charge Cash | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smileforme | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Heater | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Saint Too | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Around the Dial | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rebel War | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfecto Amor | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bob’s Sniper | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Active Account | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 98 | Black Storm | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fenestra | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | A Little Bit Crazy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy On Top | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sensible Move | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Avery Blue | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jessebear | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peacehaven | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Backstreet Affair | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Don’t Ju Forget | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Infinite Love | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Truly a Mess | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Callhercontessa | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 98 | Shez Our Arch | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 98 | Ryder’s Candy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Magic Game | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seven Sisters | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Rachel | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La V. | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tropicana Girl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Hot Lass | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Measureofdevotion | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Talkative Gal | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jamminjl | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Arch | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lovely Colleen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Daisycutter H.) – Daisycutter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Twilight Gleaming (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leggs Galore | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sadie Bluegrass | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s So Nice (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Havana Love (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Xmas Surprise | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Address (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Race Judicata | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Gem | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Joker | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ko Olina | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jasmine Chieftain | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roses R Blue | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smoothlikebuttah | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galarina | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kleen Karma | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Livin’ At the Bu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | She’s Bulletproof | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hulk | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Rob | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tex Hanley | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Kingdom | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rye Runner | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pepperman | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take the Two Ten | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Benissimo | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chris Fix | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mongol Song | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chickasaw | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.