July 24, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wasabi Boy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Faithful and True | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bat Flip | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blazing Sevens | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saint in the City | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Bash | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Upgrade | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Confession | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ampersand | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Icon | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Once a Giant | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Brownie | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Fidget | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amedeus Music | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alite | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stud Puppy | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Doctor Love | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cajun Commander | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Taco Bean | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Power Agenda | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Got the Gold | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Raw Courage | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moonshiningbright | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Storm Shooter | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Phantom Smoke | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swashbuckle | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Angelo | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battle Station | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shiraz | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Harry | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brew Pub | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bronx Bomber | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Quickflash | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Duke | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Shuvee S.) – Shuvee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malathaat | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clairiere | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Beautiful | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exotic West | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Watch This Munny | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kaling | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vahva | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rarify | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Randomized | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Briana | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Graceful | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Key of Life | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Born Dapper | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Corningstone | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Idea Generation (IRE) | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spunk | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Towhead | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Treasured Gem | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hella Ella | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hola Gata | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rapid Miss Tapit | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Empress Isabel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Stay Lost | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Bisset | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Love Tank | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Swiftsure | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emerald Express | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Culture | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Totalizer | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pico d’Oro | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Victory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kinetic Sky | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | A Little Faith | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boxing Day | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Osiria | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nota Bene | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tuscan Queen | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caironi | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Neon Summer | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Star (GB) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chasing Cara | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Baba | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smoke and Heat | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Floki’s Flight | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emboite (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pivotal Mission | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Vendor | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drakon | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Medicine | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | What a Dude | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Funding Gap (IRE) | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cheeky Tico | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.