July 23, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Mo’s Treasure | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Reckoning Force | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Petro | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Activist Investing (GB) | 1.80 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Please Baby | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Couth | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Really Good | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wideright | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Minutes Apart | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1A | 8 | I Like Boston | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brazillionaire | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steelersfanforlife | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Loaded Joe | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fore Harp | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stanhope | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Me ‘n Sap | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Risk Profile | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pirate Life | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Motion to Strike | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Breakfastatbonnies | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bank On Anna | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jane Grey | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Indra | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Repealing | 1.40 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rookery | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Lake | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mozay | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Veronica Greene | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Herington Rocket | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Get Respect | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sixth Street (FR) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wings Like Eagles | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jane Mast | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Boogie | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Perfection | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Coaching Club American Oaks) – Coaching Club American Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nest | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Oath | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Butterbean | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Society | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nostalgic | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bring Theband Home | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Summonyourcourage | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Western Ghent | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Full Moon Madness | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Powerful | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Phelpsy | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Balsa | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baie Longue | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mullingar | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | No Confession | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Faithful and True | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Upgrade | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Lies | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Cara Mia Mine | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Road to Remember | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sinfully Sweet | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Power Nap | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lollygag | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Dancer | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Writers Room | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Street | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Treat Street | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Admire My Crown | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mrs. Boomer | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Glittering Prize | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Honor Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | True Martini | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Favorite Outlaw | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prisoner | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Peaceful Waters | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Highly Respected | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Under Oath | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Ryan’s Cat | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Stage Left | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Rejected Again | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stage Raider | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creed | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Reds | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gentleman Joe | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rising Empire | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Air Attack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Moonlight | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Caress S.) – Caress S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bout Time | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss J McKay | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Devine (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caravel | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Robin Sparkles | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tobys Heart | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kept Waiting | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Sensational | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Edith | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fouette | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Topic Changer | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catch That Party | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Montatham | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Front Man | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lord Flintshire | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amended | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | F F Rocket | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moped Dennis | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shinsun | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Air Show | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seaver | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Zuzudini | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bold Victory | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Full Moon Fever | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nicholas James | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Southern Passage | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.