July 23, 2022 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Italiano | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Established | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Don Looney | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Horn of Plenty | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic West | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heartfullofstars | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shemakescents | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Jolt | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warren’s Show Bizz | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Me a Text | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Movinglikeawinner | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wetherly | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liberty Liberty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gillian Elizabeth | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Self Isolation | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gallovie (GB) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kittyhawk Lass | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fearless Girl (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Karakatsie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agreetodisagree | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Feathers (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Kentucky Girl | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Warrens Candy Girl | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Applecross (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Consternation (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 98 | Big Mama Sue | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 98 | Jibber Jabber (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Halosnheaven | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Connection | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spicybug | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Right Reasons | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | And Tell Me Nolies | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Satin Doll | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dutton’s Empire | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good as Gone | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Munny One | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Otter Pop | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 98 | Fast and Shiny | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Bolt’s Broad | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 12 | Monique | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Always At Ease | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beef Winslow | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sydney Street (GB) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unconquerable Keen (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Handy Dandy | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stayincotai (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Durante | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Degree of Risk | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spycatcher | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Boss | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Balladeer | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Resultant | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | So I’m Told | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sumo | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tom Bombadil | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Draw the Foul | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gator Shining | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mariners Way | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Superman Shaq | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Mischief | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Warrens Candy Man | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sonic Brees | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra Pass | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arthur Spooner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fun Money | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zzyzx | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cholly | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thank You Kera | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cowgirl Charli | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warren’s Paradice | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Organic | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chismosa | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin Kisses | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loyal to a Fault | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 98 | Elegant Sway | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 98 | Smoove as Silk | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Yvonne’s Miss | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Reign of Speed | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Big Wam | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Montana | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Charbonneau | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Halo | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kangaroo Court | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Herecomegeorgieboy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Thirsty Pappy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Royalty | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Looksgoodonyoutho | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | My Ransom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Buck Owens | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Duty First | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 13 | Ship and Scam | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Osunitas S.) – Osunitas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hamwood Flier (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bye Bye Bertie | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buyback | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rocking Redhead | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Avenue de France (FR) | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amy C (GB) | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carpe Vinum | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ever Smart | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Secretary | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sassyserb | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quattroelle (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Cover Version | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I Got No Munny | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Apprehend | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mastering | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Oops | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C Z Rocket | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tigre Di Slugo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | C’Mon Man | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desmond Doss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Arkaan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Murphys Tiger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (San Clemente S.) – San Clemente S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Island of Love (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tezzaray (GB) | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Anthonys Cleopatra | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Countess Rosina (IRE) | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bellabel (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mise Le Meas (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Helens Well (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lucky Girl (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gem Mine | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady T | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Gold Dragon Queen | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sixteen Arches (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 98 | Miss Mattie B | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.