July 22, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wico (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alibi Ike | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Appraise (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Clubhouse | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dataman | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inflation Nation (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rarify | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Bat Flip | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gods Glory | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Growth Capital | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Prince’s Spur | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Oglethorpe | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Impulsiveness | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Clubbing | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Indemnify (FR) | 1.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Cheeky Tico | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Capital Velocity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Happy Bob | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Pioneer Spirit | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hammerin Aamer | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lastchanceatglory | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Long Term Thinking | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amount | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Rule | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Mount Travers | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Claytnthelionheart | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bonnie T | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Glad (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rhombique | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Lullaby | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candlestick Maker | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Ally Vee | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Regina | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beachfront Bid | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Toosweettobesour | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Chess’s Dream | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Country | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Future Victory | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girl Dad | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Barnegat Light | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bricco | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Voliero | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Gussy Mac (IRE) | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sonic Speed | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prayer Book | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spectatorless | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Caerus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Convertible Freeze | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ria’s Angel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tuesday’s Child | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Mucho Man | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slow Decision | 2.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Datesfreedom | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Makart | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Civility | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clingman | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tyrannosaurus Rex | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Keepmeinmind | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Efficiency | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiwanaku | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Complete Agenda | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naval Aviator | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fighter in the Win | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skylander | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Pharoahs | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kokopelli | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Palace Gossip | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Melissa | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get the Candy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Makin My Move | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Byhubbyhellomoney | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Itsakeyper | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Q | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quality Stones | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Violent Point | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Lake George S.) – Lake George S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dolce Zel (FR) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Koala Princess | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Lou Ann | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Al Qahira | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skims (GB) | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eminent Victor | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spirit And Glory (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Hellos | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Republique | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Let Her Inspire U | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Ready A. P. | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Queen Arella | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Hannah Dances | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fancy Feline | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leeloo | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Silver Fist | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Cinderella’s Cause | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | True Empress | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Gringotts | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Caramocha | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Captivating Cara | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Liberty Flame | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Kiss Me Smile | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.